PRESS RELEASE
DR. MARIO MARAZZI‐SANTIAGO
EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR

April 13, 2018

INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS PUBLISHES SPECIAL REPORT FOR THE PREVENTION OF SCHOOL DROPOUT

The Puerto Rico Statistics Institute (Institute) today released the special report Early Detection System for School Dropouts for Public High Schools in Puerto Rico: Using Data to Provide Student Support, which provides guidance for the identification and early intervention of students who may be more likely to drop out of school before completing it.

According to the report, although the dropout rate for all grades in Puerto Rico has been decreasing (0.7% in the year 2015-2016 versus 0.9% in the year 2014-2015), the rates by educational level have been consistently higher at the higher level (high school) with 2.3% in the year 2015-2016 versus 0.7% in the intermediate level and 0.1% in the elementary level for that same year. These data justify providing special support to high school students in order to prevent them from dropping out of school.

To access the full report you can visit the following link: 694ec0e7b7a478691ca522cc_IEPR_Perfil_de_Emisiones_Toxicas_2016.pdf

An Early Warning System (EWS) is a series of defined and consistent procedures that, based on student data, allow the teacher to identify early students who are most likely to become school dropouts. “After the student is identified, this system allows the teacher, together with the school management, and subject to available resources, to assign the student one or more interventions with the purpose of reducing the likelihood of dropping out of school, without stigmatizing the student,” explained Dr. Orville M. Disdier, senior manager of Statistical Projects at the Institute and author of the report.

The characteristics or variables that were most important when predicting the probability of dropping out of school were: the results of standardized science tests, grades in English, grades in Spanish and unexcused absences. For example, as soon as a student scores a C in English or Spanish subjects, or accumulates 2 to 4 unexcused absences, they could be classified as having a “moderate risk of desertion”.

On the other hand, as soon as a student scores D or F in English or Spanish subjects, or accumulates a total of 5 or more unexcused absences, they could be classified as having a “high risk of desertion”. Depending on each case, the student may be assigned general or individual interventions. For example, general interventions could include sending written, telephone or electronic communications to parents/guardians and group workshops, and others. On the other hand, individual interventions could include personalized meetings and the assignment of a student mentor, among others.

With the Early Detection System or EWS, for its acronym in English, for School Dropouts, the Institute seeks to empower our teachers and principals with the best that science has to offer, in terms of early detection of students at high risk. As with almost any social problem, prevention is the key and for that we need tools to help us identify those students at risk in a timely manner.

“In order to be fully effective, of course, identification without intervention is totally ineffective. The intervention is up to teachers, principals and more broadly to the Department of Education, subject to the resources available to carry out some of these interventions. The purpose of this report is not to announce the interventions, but rather to identify students using scientific data in a way that is easy to implement in the classroom, and at the same time to appreciate how this knowledge can be used, we present some interventions that have been used in other places successfully and that in some instances already exist in Puerto Rico,” said Dr. Disdier.

For his part, Dr. Mario Marazzi-Santiago, executive director of the Institute, pointed out that Act No. 165-2011 of July 29, 2011 amended Article 1.03 of Law No. 149 of July 15, 1999 (Organic Law of the Puerto Rico Department of Education) in order for the Institute to develop, together with the Department, an EWS for school dropouts. “With the publication of this report, we are complying with our responsibility to the law, and establishing the theoretical and practical bases for the possible establishment, for the first time in Puerto Rico, of an EWS, which would unite us with the more than 31 states and territories of the United States that have this type of system,” said Dr. Marazzi-Santiago.

The Puerto Rico Statistics Institute is an autonomous governmental entity responsible for coordinating the Government's statistical production service to ensure that the data collection and statistics systems, on which public policies are based, are complete, reliable, and have quick and universal access. The IEPR has in its inventory, accessible through www.estadisticas.pr.gov, about 300 statistical products. In addition, it is a custodian and provides access to over 100 data sets or “data sets” through www.data.pr.gov and to over 40 tables and more than 6 thousand indicators through: www.indicadores.pr

In addition, as the leading entity of Puerto Rico's SDC, the IEPR manages the SDC portal, which contains the main statistical reports and publications of the U.S. Census Bureau on Puerto Rico, specifically those that are most in demand, such as annual population estimates; the Puerto Rico Community Survey and official statistics on Puerto Rico's decennial population and housing censuses, among others. The Puerto Rico SDC portal can be accessed through: https://censo.estadisticas.pr/

For more information you can visit our website: www.estadisticas.pr.gov. In addition, you can follow us on social networks through Facebook accounts (statistics.pr), Twitter (@EstadisticasPR) and LinkedIn (Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics).

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Press Contact: Sandra Morales Blanes (787) 688-0401

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Population reduction continues in Puerto Rico's municipalities

This is indicated by the estimates for the month of July 2022 of the U.S. Census Bureau

San Juan, PR, March 30, 2023 — The U.S. Census Bureau today released the most recent Annual Population Estimates data for municipalities in Puerto Rico, as well as for counties in the United States. These statistics refer to July 1, 2022 and include estimates of the total population for each municipality and the population change in the current decade. On behalf of the U.S. Census Bureau's Network of Data and Census Information Centers (SDC-PR) in Puerto Rico, the Puerto Rico Statistics Institute (Institute) reported several findings from the new publication of population estimates for the year 2022:

1. Compared to the 2020 Decennial Census with reference to April 1, 2020, compared to the most recent year available, July 1, 2022, estimates indicate that:
   • Changes in the population of residents in municipalities ranged from 0.8% to -7.2%.
   • In 99% of the municipalities, a population decrease was estimated. Only for the municipality of Rincón, a slight increase (0.8%) was estimated.
   • Some 15 municipalities reflected an estimated reduction of more than three percent (3%) in the comparative period.
   • The total population of all of Puerto Rico is estimated to have fallen by two percent (2%), translating to nearly 64,000 fewer residents than in April 2020.

2. In relation to the geographical aspect between municipalities, with regard to the change in the total population estimated up to the year 2022, the interactive map provides the geographical distribution.

In this one you can identify:

• • The five municipalities with the highest percentage of population decline were Guánica (-7.2%), Loíza (-4.4%), Guayanilla (-4.0%), Ponce (-3.9%) and Maricao (-3.8%).
    • Four of the five municipalities are located in the south and west of Puerto Rico, and Loíza, on the other hand, in the northeast.
  • The five municipalities with the lowest percentage of population decline were Barranquitas (-0.1%), Naranjito (-0.1%), Aibonito (-0.3%), Isabela (-0.4%) and Moca (-0.5%).
    • The first three municipalities are located in the central area (Barranquitas, Naranjito and Aibonito) and the last two (Isabela and Moca) in the western part of Puerto Rico.

“The pattern of population estimates continues to show a tendency to decrease, a trait of which, at the level of Puerto Rico, we are already approaching nearly two decades (since 2005) of being an increasingly smaller resident population but with a different demographic composition,” said Alberto L. Velázquez-Estrada, Senior Manager of Statistical Projects at the Institute. As an interactive summary, the Institute published a visualization that allows us to see the new series of estimates at the municipal level, facilitating geographical comparison within Puerto Rico. This visualization can be accessed at: https://censo.estadisticas.pr/node/517.

The tables with the annual population estimates for Puerto Rico and its municipalities can be accessed at: https://censo.estadisticas.pr/EstimadosPoblacionales, as well as in the data dissemination tool of the U.S. Census Bureau: data.census.gov. In addition, as the leading entity of the State Data Center of Puerto Rico, the Institute manages the SDC portal, which contains the main statistical reports and publications of the U.S. Census Bureau on Puerto Rico, specifically those that are most in demand, such as annual population estimates; the Puerto Rico Community Survey (Puerto Rico Community Survey) and official statistics on Puerto Rico's decennial population and housing censuses, among others. The Puerto Rico SDC portal can be accessed through: censo.estadisticas.pr.

The Puerto Rico Statistics Institute is an autonomous governmental entity responsible for coordinating the Government's statistical production service to ensure that the data collection and statistics systems, on which public policies are based, are complete, reliable, and have quick and universal access.

For more information you can visit the website: www.estadisticas.pr.gov or write to preguntas@estadisticas.pr. They can also follow social networks through Facebook (@estadisticas .pr), Twitter (@EstadisticasPR), LinkedIn (Institute of Statistics of Puerto Rico) and Instagram (@institutodeestadisticas) accounts.

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Statistics Institute launches Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) to facilitate access to data.